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Home » What is Sales Forecast ? definition, methods, types and importance

What is Sales Forecast ? definition, methods, types and importance

definition of sales forecasting

These approaches are valuable when historical data is limited or when entering new markets or launching new products. By contrast, an inaccurate sales forecast leaves sales managers wondering whether they’ll actually hit quota. If forecasted deals receive little or no attention, it can negatively impact estimated sales outcomes. Ensure that your team focuses equally on all deals and actively works to close them in real-time. Sales reps deal with clients daily and know how long it takes to close a deal. So, most sales managers prefer to ask the sales rep to estimate the sales amount they can achieve in a month and set the target accordingly.

Sales Planning

A bit of this and that—a decent mix of these methods provides the most accurate forecast. Depending on your industry and product, your business might perform exceptionally well in some seasons or locations as opposed to others. If your forecast fails to account for assets = liabilities + equity these variables, it will produce a revenue prediction that’s out of season. Now that you’ve adjusted your revenue projection for both internal and external factors, all that’s left is to distribute your forecast to all relevant parties.

Sales Forecasting Methodologies

definition of sales forecasting

These factors can significantly affect your sales during the forecast period. Sales leaders visualize forecast data to spot adjacent issues like a drop in pipeline velocity, signaling potential bottlenecks, or sales-marketing misalignment even before problems arise. Let’s say one of your sales reps has been below their quota for the past two weeks. You can promptly coach them to prevent their performance from affecting the whole month. The same principle applies to monthly and quarterly sales performance monitoring.

Sales Forecasting vs Demand Forecasting

definition of sales forecasting

AI-powered technologies, like Agentforce, provide detailed insights into how your sales team is performing. Metrics like win rates, deal velocity, and quota attainment become easier to track. Managers can use these insights to recognize top performers and address gaps through personalized coaching. Hybrid methods allow you to make forecasts that are both realistic and adaptable.

  • Correlation can be one statistical analysis to understand the relationship between the two variables.
  • By understanding expected demand, the sales team can set realistic quotas and the marketing team can plan campaigns at the right time to maximize revenue.
  • As a science experiment becomes more trustworthy with more trials, you should improve the accuracy of your sales forecast by using several different methods to estimate future sales.
  • Economic changes like recessions or booms can significantly affect consumer spending.
  • By mastering both, sales leaders can drive predictable revenue growth, optimize team performance, and make better business decisions.

Add up all the Expected Deal Values from each deal to find the Total Sales Forecast. Assuming each new customer spends, on average, $50 per purchase and the conversion rate of 3% remains consistent, ABC Online Store can expect a revenue of $120,000. This $10,000 is your expected profit for the period based on your forecasted sales volume and costs. Get the latest product news, industry insights, and valuable resources in your inbox. GTMfund is an early-stage VC fund focused on investing in the most exciting, up-and-coming B2B SaaS companies across the world.

Regularly review and adjust your forecast

definition of sales forecasting

They want to monitor leads, how quickly those leads move through the funnel, and their likelihood of closing. For instance, the sales forecast can show that sales are falling and that marketing needs more significant investment. It might also indicate that a specific product or service fails to deliver appropriate amounts of value.

These days, businesses use dedicated BI tools for analyzing historical data. Once you have the information, calculate the sales rate to calculate sales per period. As the name suggests is loosely based on asking the salesperson about the prospect.

definition of sales forecasting

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For example, if your average sales cycle length for closed sales was 30 days, you would say that a lead that has been in your funnel for 15 days has a 50% chance of closing. As a sales professional or business leader, your goal might simply be to sell, sell, sell as much as possible. Not only is this unsustainable, but it ignores the reality of whether your business is breaking even or if competitors are Partnership Accounting outperforming you. At present, she uses her decade-long writing experience to provide FSB readers with the best answers to their questions.

definition of sales forecasting

What are some software tools that can help me with sales forecasting?

  • Using sales forecast methodology you can determine how much prospecting you need to keep the sales pipeline in good shape.
  • These factors include a company’s past sales history, statistical analysis of trends, and consideration of the broader economic climate.
  • Here, the intermediaries or salesmen estimate or predict sales in their respective zones for a given period.
  • It is great for tracking short-term performance but may not account for unexpected delays or lost deals.
  • The marketing team engaged in sales forecasting may hold personal biases.

Forecasting allows you to reduce time on weak prospects that do not align with your products and services and focus on the better ones. Another important of sales forecasting is that it helps allocate the right budget. Budgeting has a profound importance concerning cash inflow, outflow, and budgeting. By predicting short and long-term sales, forecasting helps the finance team plan profit and income flows.